Wednesday, December 30, 2009

A New Year of Food


In 2010, many people will try to improve their their health and diet. The best advice is, keep it simple. For instance, author and food expert Michael Pollan has a list of ten food rules.
I reduced them as follows:
  1. Don't buy anything your great grandmother wouldn't recognize as food. That includes products with ingredients that cannot be found in an ordinary pantry.
  2. Avoid products that are pretending to be something they are not. Good food does not need health claims printed on its packaging. If it says heart healthy, lite, low-fat, or non-fat, put it down.
  3. It's best to shop at local farmers markets. If you have to shop at a supermarket, shop its outside aisles and not its middle.
I would also add that, if you eat meat, reduce your consumption of it to a level as Thomas Jefferson once did, as a condiment on your table.
To good heath and a better planet. Bon Appétit!

Image courtesy of the Antiadvertising Agency.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Education is a progressive discovery of our own ignorance.

- Will Durant


This quote at first sounds trite but then takes root in my mind, because I enjoy those moments in my life when I can tell someone I didn't know that!

Saturday, October 3, 2009

REVIEW: Pedaling Revolution


The reviewer, David Byrne, posited that bicycling's macho extreme sport image impairs its ability to gain popularity as a legitimate form of transportation.

And now for my book review: Pedaling Revolution is the hardest book I have ever tried to review. It is a fine book, an important book that addresses a subject I care deeply about, and because of that I cannot describe it without reflecting upon my own opinions, experiences and paradoxes.

Like a dead, stinking fish my book review has in its various forms of lengthy draft occupied my computer's hard drive for months. I repeatedly tried to organize and unify my thoughts to no avail, so I have now filleted from from the dead fish a concise review of the book and a more expansive series of riffs on the books's core themes: public perceptions, safety, advocacy and the Euro view.

In Pedaling Revolution, Mapes describes how people and their bicycles are part of a global movement, changing cities and whole countries around the world in places like New York, Chicago, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Portland (OR,) Amsterdam, Germany and Denmark. Each of these locations has a unique bicycle history that he explores with the help of local experts, advocates, and innovators.

Mapes excels at explaining the role of leadership, politics and social norms in shaping how each location accommodates bicycle usage. I like how he cites the exemplary advocacy of seventy-two year old Representative Jim Oberstar (D-MN) and his tireless work to garner funding for bicycle accommodations in Federal transportation legislation. Oberstar has a great tag line:
Are you ready to convert from the hydrocarbon economy to the carbohydrate economy?
Mapes omitted any mention of bicycling's impact in East Asia, especially China. Given the sheer scale at which the Chinese ride bicycles, the political dynamics, cultural attitudes and current trends there would provide interesting and insightful reading. Perhaps that would merit an entire book in itself?

Any discussion of the bicycle as a form of transportation naturally must address how bicycle policy comes in conflict with the automobile. Mapes adds a degree of objectivity to this book by frequently acknowledging that automobiles are not implicitly bad, but their near-exclusive use in most American transportation settings is.

Many of the people that Mapes features in the book stoke reader interest when addressing controversial subjects such as John Forrester's vehicular cycling movement and the legitimacy of Critical Mass rides. Nevertheless, Mapes sometimes goes too long on explaining government transportation policy-setting.

Much of the book prompts a central question: why can't more Americans use transportation modes other than the automobile, especially for trips of 2 miles or less? The potential benefits to our health, environment, pocketbooks and communities are mindboggling.

While Mapes' bicycle stories from places around the world may hint at it, he does not state a fundamental problem with bicycling in the United States: that bicycling remains outside of the societal and political mainstream, that the average American views bicyclists as either sports enthusiasts or eco-freaks. This perception excludes what most Europeans (and Chinese) know as truth: that the bicycle can simply be another way of getting there.

This book should equally satisfy the bicycle advocate and the enthusiast. I hope it also wins over some converts. Soon, I will post more about the book's core themes: public perceptions, safety, advocacy and the Euro view.

Thanks for reading!

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Farewell, Catholic Boy


Jim Carroll passed away this week. His art touched me as it did to many, and I will always remember how his first record, Catholic Boy inspired me to live for the day.
He was an athlete, junkie, Pulitzer Prize-winner and rock star. Many called him a punk poet, but that label somehow proves too narrow. As his once-girlfriend Patti Smith did and still does, Jim Carroll used punk to animate his avant-poetry and expose both forms to new audiences.
Carroll left us with much more artistic treasure, but that one record means a lot to me. When I heard "People Who Died", "Nothing is True", or the title track, I felt connected with a master storyteller who lived the dark, rebellious, ecstatic post-disco New York culture of the late-70's and early 80's.
I was born in a pool, they made my mother stand
And I spat on that surgeon and his trembling hand
When I felt the light I was worse than bored
I stole the doctor's scalpel and I slit the cord

I was a Catholic Boy. Redeemed in pain, not through joy...

They Smelt of Krispy Kreme

I was awakened this morning at 3:25 by a strange noise. After rising out of bed and investigating I found evidence that someone had been in my back yard, so I dialed 911. An Atlanta police officer soon arrived, and I explained what I saw and heard.
He said he'd take a look in the back yard. That's when I noticed him walking with a pronounced limp.
Uh-oh, House is on the case!
Parked at the curb, he fumbled around his front seat for almost five minutes, when a second patrol car pulled alongside. The first cop says to the other "I can't find my flashlight."
The second cop loans him a spare light, and both finally join me for a looksee out back. The second cop looks like Queen Latifah, and I doubt that either could break the twenty second barrier in a 100-meter sprint.
The second patrol car is still in the street, blocking other vehicles that might try to venture past.
We didn't find anything unusual out back, but I suppose the prowler used those moments to nab the doughnuts from the front seat of Officer Latifah's car.

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Miners and Farmers

I recently completed a solar energy “boot camp” in California. It covered topics ranging from the very technical to the philosophical. Some of the most interesting moments came during these philosophical moments, such as the time when the instructor likened us practitioners of solar technology as harvesters of the sun's energy.
Granted, we are not the end-all, be-all “green” solution to our energy needs, but we can satisfy a fair portion of human energy demand through a relatively benign way of tapping a small portion of the Sun's daily energy delivery.
Contrast this with the way that we currently obtain most of our energy, by digging it out of the ground and wreaking all the environmental damage that comes by way of mountaintop removals, oil spills, mercury pollution, CO2 emissions, toxic mine tailings and fly ash, and nuclear reactor wastes.
Oh, to have more energy farmers and fewer miners!

Let Them Eat Advil

Oh, Man, when my beloved Kountrymen have a collective freakout like the teabaggers had in D.C. last weekend, leave it to a group of culture-jammers masquerading as health insurance company executives and Washington lobbyists to at least make it entertaining.
The Billionaires for Wealthcare infiltrated the teabaggers' march wearing black tuxedos, cummerbunds and monocles, thanking the dazed crowds for doing their dirty work for them.
They waived smartly-produced placards bearing slogans like, You deserve the healthcare you can afford, End socialism: privatize Medicare now, and If we ain't broke, don't fix it.
They smoked cigars, sipped champagne and sang patriotic tunes with their own lyrics, such as (to the tune of Battle Hymn Of The Republic)
We bought a bunch of senators and congresspeople too.
They serve our corporate interests and we tell them what to do.
This gravy train will stop the day a healthcare bill gets through.
Let's save the status quo!
Bravo!

Friday, September 11, 2009

CBS: TV Terrorists

The other night, I joined my son as he was watching TV in our den. We watched a drama called Criminal Minds. At first, it seemed to predictably follow the CSI-Law&Order formula, with a crew of buff twentysomething detectives directed by a token grayhair, assisted by the usual array of slick computer databases which always manage to find the right surveillance photo and then zoom in for a clear read of the the crook's license plate.
Criminal Minds managed to distinguish itself by driving the whole shebang off the cliff of decency.
This particular episode showed the bad guy abducting, torturing and dismembering his victims, and then feeding them to a sty full of pigs.
We turned it off, but not before the disgusting images took root in my mind and haunted me for the next day. How, I wonder, do the jerks at CBS explain their exploitive drivel to their family and friends?

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Nerd Rock


My musical tastes tend towards the young, loud and snotty, making my favorite new record all the more unusual. This is solidly nerd rock of a bespectacled band with English accents and funny rhymes like
The Prettiest Whistles Won't Wrestle the Thistles undone.
I love the Decemberists' The Hazards of Love and all the elegance, wry humor and curiosity that it embodies. Listen to this record openly and in its entirety, as it tells an English folk-style tale in a succession of thematic variations. Savor its masterful arrangement of banjo, a children's choir, pedal steel, accordion, electric guitar power chords, and pipe organ. You will fall in love as I did.

Monday, July 27, 2009

Sunrise



I love my new job working as a solar energy system installer completing (with a little help from my friends) my first project this week! An Atlanta homeowner now has both hot water and electricity courtesy of old Sol.
The new photovoltaic system has 14 roof-mounted panels which are connected via a voltage inverter to the house's electrical system. This is a netmetering device, which means that the homeowner continues to purchase electricity from the local electric utility. The panels generate clean, no-cost electricity that displaces an equivalent amount of dirty electricity that the homeowner would otherwise have purchased from the electric utility company. At any given moment when the solar panels are producing more than the homeowner can consume, the extra electricity flows out to the utility grid, and the home owner's electric meter will run backwards!
The new solar thermal system has two panels on the roof filled with thin tubing that uses the sun's energy to heat a glycol fluid the same way a garden hose left out in the sun heats water. Our system pumps the glycol, which can reach temperatures of over 220 degrees Fahrenheit, through a pipe to a heat exchanger in the basement where it produces hot water.
The hot water then flows into an insulated storage tank until needed. Much like a conventional water heater, this tank contains an electrical heating element to boost the water temperature whenever the available sunlight cannot satisfy all the homeowner's needs.
The finished project is pictured here. The homeowner intends to remove some or all of the tree so that the panels are not shaded.
My job is to help people and organizations satisfy their energy needs using economical, environmentally-sound solar technologies. This week I worked on my customer's roof installing the panels, feeling the sun's intense warmth and an urgency to do more to capture it for our benefit.
I love this work!

Monday, July 13, 2009

Oh, Stimulus!

On Friday, I attended a Sustainable Atlanta Roundtable titled, Show Me the Energy Dollars: New financial incentives and policies for energy efficiency and solar energy resources. These monthly SARTs are usually very good, and July's was no exception. An overflow audience consisted mainly of public and private organizations seeking access to Federal funds and of contractors and suppliers eager to support the ensuing projects.
David Gipson of the Georgia Environmental Facilities Authority (GEFA) said that the U.S. Department of Energy has approved GEFA's plan to use $82.5 million of Federal stimulus (aka, American Recovery and Reinvestment Act ARRA) funding for statewide energy efficiency and renewable energy projects and $124.8 million for low-income home weatherization. GEFA is now responsible for administering the $82.5 million State Energy Program (SEP) and will release guidance and application forms for SEP programs “shortly.”
Gipson described eight different programs and grants that will be available under the SEP. Most of the SEP's $82.5 million will be applied to one program aimed at retrofitting state government facilities.
Of the remaining SEP programs, I was personally interested to learn more about the Clean Energy Property Rebate (GA HB 473.) This provides grants that will offset 35 percent of the cost of renewable energy equipment, up to a cap that varies by technology. Funding will be awarded on a first come-first served basis for projects that have been installed in the same year for which funding has been applied.
What's really cool is that this grant will not replace the existing state income tax credit that will continue to be offered to residential and non-residential applicants. Unlike existing tax credits, this rebate program can be used by nonprofit organizations, schools and churches, which was welcome news to the many Georgia Interfaith Power and Light representatives in the audience.
For renewable energy projects including solar, the Feds are removing the caps that currently apply to the 30% Federal Income Tax Credit. Gipson said that GEFA is also instituting a reservation of credit program, which removes some of the financial risk when applying for project financing.
An audience member asked for clarification about the types of renewable energy projects covered by these SEP plans, since they only mentioned wind and solar technologies. He was disappointed to learn from Gipson that biomass projects may be added “at a later date.” Upon visiting the DOE's web site, I see that biomass is covered under the Renewable Energy Grants program, which will pay up to 30 percent of the project's cost for large, visible and “shovel-ready” projects.
These grants offer project developers the option of taking tax grants in lieu of tax credits, which became less useful when the current economic downturn shrank tax liabilities and tight credit made it difficult, if not impossible, to secure financing.
Gipson also told us that:
  • There is no need to “get in line” for ARRA energy funds that will be administered by GEFA, because all funding will be awarded based on a competitive application process.
  • The competitive application process will begin after the DOE awards the ARRA funds to GEFA, probably during the week of July 12, 2009.
  • GEFA still needs to develop its competitive application process and the criteria that will be used to evaluate applications.
During the Q&A session, many heads in the room nodded when an audience member mentioned that large renewable energy projects will not be planned in Georgia until PPA providers find a more conducive business environment here. Dave agreed but said that GEFA does not have a plan for addressing this. He said that the Georgia PSC and perhaps the Georgia Power Company needs to address this matter.
I recently discussed this with a friend of mine who works at Georgia Power. My friend said that the PSC is largely responsible for Georgia Power's delay in expanding its existing net metering tariff.
Specifically, the PSC needs to update the formula it uses to compute how much GP pays independent power producers, and this is an issue that the utilities and the solar industry can get behind, together. I am sure that we will also address this within the Georgia Solar Energy Association.
As more information becomes available, GEFA will post it on their ARRA Energy Information web page where you can also sign up for their ARRA energy programs email list.

A ripping good storm

Throughout yesterday evening, a succession of severe thunderstorms hit Atlanta. I drove home from dinner in Decatur amidst flooded roadways, the surging water forming vortices around low-lying storm drains. The torrent covered the street in front of my house from curb-to-curb, sweeping away bags of yard waste and splashing hard against parked cars.The Atlanta Journal-Constitution published an amazing photograph of lightning striking the SunTrust building — as seen from Irwin Street near Boulevard. Despite what their caption reads, I think the lightning is shown striking the Omni Hotel, not the SunTrust building.

Friday, July 3, 2009

Ryan Leech is my hero.


Mountain biking fans know Ryan Leech as a foremost innovator of trials riding, the sport of bicycle-based acrobatics. Leech's work has been featured in dozens of mountain biking movies and live competitions, where he negotiates unimaginably-difficult jumps and obstacles using his trademark combination of power, grace and imagination.
As much as I enjoy watching him in action, this does not make him a hero. He became my hero after I read Mountainbike magazine's June issue, with an inspiring story about how a professional mountain biker becomes a global citizen.
The article explains how Leech recently had an epiphany while filming a new trials movie in British Columbia that was set in an old-growth forest soon to be logged. Leech was struck both by the forest's majesty and by the sense of impending loss, realizing that he would be one of the last to enjoy the forest once it is clear-cut: for a long, long time.
He determined himself to learn more about it, about logging in BC, about resource extraction in general, and about the environmental movement. He read one of my favorite books, The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight, by Thom Hartmann and hooked up with the David Suzuki Foundation, a very cool nonprofit organization dedicated to educating people about the environment.
For a guy who never graduated from college, Leech hit the books hard and got himself up-to-speed using the same determination and self confidence that makes him a world class mountain biker. I appreciate how he understands himself, his strengths and his limitations, and about his fellow humans.
Leech knows that, as passionate as he is about saving the world, he does not want to simply preach. Instead, he is summoning a skill that few wield more prodigiously: his keen sense of balance. He is searching for the ways to effectively use his sport to deliver his message about the need for us to live more in harmony with nature. He is searching for the best way to entertain, inform and inspire.
Leech is a hero, because he is realizing his true potential not just as a mountain biker but also as a human being, and this gives him a clear idea about how he will make his life truly meaningful.
I wish him godspeed!

Monday, June 8, 2009

Pedaling Revolution


Last week in the NY Times Book Review, David Byrne reviewed a new book about the resurgence of bicycling and how it is changing American cities. Pedaling Revolution, by Jeff Mapes, sounds like an engaging read and has taken top position on my to-read list.
I most appreciated Byrne's comments, as he is a dedicated NYC bike commuter of 30 years. Using his keen pop culture sensibilities, Byrne posits that bicycling's macho extreme sport image impairs its ability to gain popularity as a legitimate form of transportation.
He welcomes how bike manufacturers have finally begun introducing commuter-friendly designs "for the rest of us." He toasts the way that Mapes re-frames the tired language of bicycle commuting into the more results-oriented active transportation. In the minds of the non-bicycling public, the latter suggests fitness and practicality: the former, kooks and outliers.
Byrne suggests that popular attitudes about bicycling will really improve when it becomes more woman-friendly.
I can ride till my legs are sore and it won't make riding any cooler, but when attractive women are seen sitting upright going about their city business on bikes day and night, the crowds will surely follow.
And he cites a few promising examples involving well-known actresses and models.
Tabloid fodder does not a revolution make, but it's a start.
Viva the revolution!

Friday, June 5, 2009

High Sticking the Future

This week's ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show (arranged
by Avastone Consulting) resumed a conversation with Chris Martenson, who comments about current and future events in a body of orignal work that he calls the Crash Course.
I blogged about the previous conversation with Martenson here.

He builds upon his explanation about the mathematical effects of compound growth, and why the more sanguine of economic forecasters (i.e., most economic forecasters) fail to recognize the interrelationships amongst the environment, the economy and energy supplies. Important attributes of each of these areas, Martenson argues, currently exhibit troubling compound growth trends: for example in the destruction of ecosystems, financial debt and the availability of cheap petroleum.

More importantly, these attributes of our civilized world have mutually turned a corner in the "hockey stick" profile of their compound growth trends. Thus, Martenson says
it has hit the fan.

So what happens when we go too far up the "hockey stick?" Volitility increases and system events (shocks) happen more frequently. At best, we will continue to socialize private debts, and the economy recovers slowly.

A gloomier scenario portends a currency crisis in the next 4-5 years, as faith in the Dollar as the world's reserve currency crumbles under the load of massive U.S. Federal debt. It is made even worse by another spike in oil prices, possibly staying high as supplies of cheap oil must be replaced by more expensive deepwater and unconventional reserves.

Martenson predicts this oil shock in the next 2-3 years, based on the peak oil theory. He also warns that coal reserves, long thought to be an ace-in-the hole for U.S. domestic energy policy, may be smaller than previously estimated. This is the first time I have heard a suggestion that coal supplies are in trouble, and I have not yet examined the basis for this claim.

Obviously, Martenson sees the need for radical changes in public policy and individual behaviors on a mass scale. This change, he argues, will not originate from Washington policy wonks, academics and politicians.

The winds which guide their actions push them towards the political Center, creating an effective stabilizing force for the status quo. Martenson instead sees the change originating from a broad-based social movement which is already underway: an amalgamation of activist groups with no central philosophy other than the individual desire to contribute to the public good in any way they can.

This vision for a social movement is both powerful and alluring, and I wish that Martenson had more time to explain. It echos the ideas that Paul Hawken poses in his latest book, Blessed Unrest.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Common Mistakes and Solutions

The latest weekly ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show (arranged by Avastone Consulting) featured James Quilligan, a distinguished analyst and administrator in the field of international development who sees the need for new methods of solving global problems, outside of the usual governmental and private entities. In particular, he advocates for a stronger governance of the Commons.

Like the other two guests featured in the ZOOM'D series (refer to my previous blog entries here and here), Quilligan is cautious about declaring a bottom to the current global economic crisis too soon and expects continued instability for some time.

Also, he sees the linkages amongst the ongoing monetary crisis, damage to ecological systems and global poverty. Our consumption-driven economy propels these problems, because the demand for constant growth outstrips the ability of natural systems (energy, water, air, etc.) to sustain it.

This, Quilligan argues, has necessitated the ongoing privatization of the Commons: areas of shared space and worth that difficult or impossible for governments and businesses to repesent on a balance sheet. We may easily recall how all the sources of fresh water from rainfall, rivers, lakes and underground aquifers represent a common resource that is increasingly being threatened by privatization efforts, especially in arid locales.

Quilligan explains how the Commons represent water, air, mineral and energy resources but goes beyond natural resources. It also represents consumer purchasing power, indigenous wisdom, community health, intellectual property, public trust, slots in the over-the-air broadcasting spectrum, and so on.

The Commons encompasses most of what we need to function as a human community. The Commons has mental, social and ecological components. As such, some of it can be replenished, some cannot, but much of it is fragile.

The Tragedy of the Commons is a well-known article by Garrett Hardin which explains how the Commons can be unintentionally damaged by those who rely on it through abuse and overuse. Quilligan sees this as a clear reason why the Commons needs to be carefully governed, and current history strongly suggests that we are failing at this. We usually view this question as a matter of economic theory.

Lately, we have seen the shortcomings of this approach, regardless of whether your economics lean in the direction of free markets or that of Keynesian government interventions. The Public Sector, in Quilligan's opinion, cannot deal effectively with the Commons: bureaucrats and politicians lack proper expertise, and they are limited by man made political borders. And, we know what happens when private managers must answer to shareholders above those who depend most on the Commons.

Quilligan sees less of a distinction between public and private sectors than commonly perceived and cites this coziness as a threat to our Democracy. For anyone interested in sussing this out further, I strongly recommend reading Thom Hartmann's excellent history of corporate power, Unequal Protection.

Besides, neither sector appears ready to accept the fact that the Commons may lack the capacity of supporting our economic growth model. Quilligan see a need to synthesize a “third sector” exhibiting properties of the other two.

Civil society/non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are stepping in to protect the Commons, although they sometimes may not recognize it as such. Much of their work is effectively carried out at the community-level, and more needs to be done at the global level. Some NGOs need help recognizing and organizing this.

I wished to have heard more examples of this from Quilligan. He mentioned the need to propagate gift economies, to institute green fees (taxes) on natural resource extraction and also to tax “financial speculation.”

He does not think that cap and trade legislation for controlling greenhouse gas emissions is the way to go, and I wished that he would have explained why.

Now, Quilligan is serving as Policy Development Coordinator of the Coalition for the Global Commons – an international consultation process that is engaging partners across the world in the development of a common global action plan. Recently, he wrote an article for the Kosmos Journal called Global Commons Goods | Civil Society as Global Commons Organizations. Here is my favorite part of it:

While watching markets and states mismanage the world’s cross-boundary problems, it has dawned on many individuals, communities and civil society organizations that the specific objectives we are pursuing—whether they are food, water, clean air, environmental protection, energy, free flow of information, human rights, indigenous people’s rights, or numerous other social concerns—are essentially global commons issues. It is also becoming clear that we would gain considerably more authority and responsibility in meeting these problems by joining together as global commons organizations. 

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Take the National Drivers Test

According to the Atlanta-Journal Constitution, Georgia's drivers rate amongst the lowest of all states when it comes to their knowledge of road rules.

I suppose this results from lax state requirements for obtaining and retaining a drivers license, and the public perception that driving an automobile is a right, not a privilige

Take the test yourself. I got 19/20 questions right. I missed #18, the one about approaching a traffic signal displaying a steady yellow light.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Crash Course

Last week, the weekly ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show (arranged by Avastone Consulting) featured an fascinating interview with Chris Martenson, 45-year-old visionary who willingly quit his former high-paying, high-status job at an international Fortune 300 company, because it seemed like an unnecessary diversion from the real tasks at hand. Chris writes and lectures about current and future events according to a body of orignal work that he calls the Crash Course.

I have considered the lectures of many analysts and visionaries each of whom have concluded that we're screwed, meaning that the economic, environmental and social order that we currently enjoy is doomed. The best of these have girded their cases by weaving together numerous contemporary trends into a big picture. By taking a wholistic view, they overcome the reductionist tendencies of mainstream analysts and “experts,” presenting fresh evidence to suggest that any effort—no matter how great—will fail in restoring and maintaining the status quo many of us enjoyed only a few short months ago.

The party's over, they say.

With this, Chris Martenson dives into this doomer genre with clarity and hope. His Crash Course excels at identifying and describing in easy-to-understand terms certain trends—in energy, financial capital, and human population—that make the current situation so unique and pivotal in determining our future. We are at a confluence of nonlinear trends that are linked to each other.

He deserves special credit for his recognizing the primacy of human population growth amongst these trends, something often overlooked by others. How else could we overlook the significance of there being more humans alive today than have ever lived—cumulatively—since the dawn of Homo Sapeins Sapiens over 120,000 years ago?

Eight years ago, I realized that the party was nearly over and wracked my brain to find a way to show the “big picture” for all to easily see. I envisioned a set of line graphs depicting time-based trends, showing the “hockey stick” inflection points portending imminent consequences. With each of these graphs—for human population growth, the economy, global temperatures, species extinctions, natural resource depletions—there would be an arrow pointing to the present day at or near the inflection point, with an overall title “You are here.”

Somehow, I could not find and assemble the data needed to fit this concept. In Crash Course, Martenson nails it!

His outlook for the future is pragmatically hopeful. First, we should all agree that our world has changed dramatically and irrevocably to the extent that there is little possibility of restoring that which we previously considered to be “normal living.”  

The next twenty years will be unlike the previous 20 years.

With this come two essential realities: that the age of economic growth fueled by mass consumerism is over. We cannot borrow-and-buy our way out of this mess, including the “innovative” methods of Wall Streeters that turned our global banking system into a casino.

Also, economic growth is subject to limits imposed by natural, earth-based systems. All human activity is ultimately governed by the availability of energy, clean air, fresh water, healthy soil, viable fisheries, and so on. These systems have a finite capacity to provide us what we need, and so goes our aspirations for growth: finitely.

We therefore are faced with a future quite different from our past experience. We can either shape it according to these realities, or we can have our future dictated to us by the physical world.  

In Crash Course, Martinsen states that we have all the knowledge and technologies we need to create a better future for ourselves, and the only thing we currently lack is the political will to do so. It's not hard to see where we stand politically, judging by way that the Government's efforts to “recover” from the current recession/depression are largely focused on restoring the status quo: bailing out the multinational banks and the automobile companies.

Politically, we have not addressed the realities.

On this point, Crash Course, comes up short. Our political preoccupations are merely a reflection of more powerful barriers to meaningful change. In Martinsen's finely-reasoned treatise he does not uncover the root causes of our problems, and therefore his recommended actions sound tired and weak.

To develop an effective strategy, we need to understand how we got into this mess. This is where the New Renaissance can help.

More on that soon...

Monday, May 18, 2009

Liberate Your Mailbox

Catalog Choice has a nifty service that has reduced the number of unwanted catalogs hitting my mailbox. It is run by a nonprofit organization and is free to use. Take a few minutes at their site to unclutter your mailbox and save a forest!

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Aluminum Love


A nice spring day like today prompts me to roll out my retro ride, the Vitus 979. Produced in France circa 1987, the Vitus 979 Duraluminum frameset is what the legendary Sean Kelly rode to countless victories in Europe. Every time I ride it, I react with a characteristic "whoa" to the bike's tight frame angles and stiff ride. Compared with my high-end  carbon bike, the Vitus is incredibly responsive and not much heavier. 
In the two decades which have elapsed since this bike occupied the state-of-the-art, a lot of useful technological advances have been made with pedals, integrated shifting, and the like. Still, it rides with speed and refinement.
A beauty to ride and to behold, on a beautiful day. Life is good!

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change

Yesterday, I tuned in to a ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show which is hosted every Monday by my friend John D. Schmidt, founder and CEO of Avastone Consulting. Schmidt interviewed an author and futurist named John Petersen. Petersen is President and Founder of The Arlington Institute and recently wrote a book called A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change. In it, he takes stock of significant trends in the current world order and riffs on what the future has in store for us.

Petersen works with a variety of planners representing many national and global interests, and he began his talk by noting how so many attempts to “fix” the current global financial meltdown aim to restore the old economic order. He further noted how impossible this is, given that the world is changing so profoundly in response to current economic, social, environmental, and energy-related pressures.

Times like these present themselves as opportunities to seize radical change for the better: don't re-boot the (old) economy, re-boot ourselves. He thinks that by the Summer, President Obama will have to shift gears and focus more on rebuilding our system instead of continuing to prop up the old one.

Fair enough, but I found little of substance to follow and humbly think that some friends of mine and I already have gone one better.

I had to roll my eyes through some of the remaining dialog, not because I entirely disagreed with what Petersen was saying. He talked about the end of cheap oil, about us developing a keener sense of “coopetition” and interconnectedness. He said that we need to “co-create a new reality” rooted in both the conscious and the spiritual worlds, using both electronic tools as well as ancient wisdom.

Probably because he has heard this too many times before, Schmidt asked Petersen about how we then move ahead, especially in finding ways to overcome inertia. Petersen did not offer specifics, instead saying that we need to enlighten ourselves and to recognize the need for us to evolve into beings better-suited for life in a collaborative world.

To Petersen's credit, he did state that we should enact this enlightenment, even if it might be impossible to anticipate where it will lead us (and our heirs.) This is when I recalled my work with The New Renaissance.

Eight years ago, some friends and I saw Daniel Quinn give a lecture at the UGA which he titled, The New Renaissance. Like John Petersen, Quinn followed a line about how our current economic, social and environmental systems are not working and are not sustainable. He also made a case for us to re-invent how we live, to incorporate both modern technology and ancient wisdom, to incorporate more mutual support into our social and economic systems. All this change undoubtedly requires a lot of convincing, a lot of persuasion, a lot of 'splainin'.

Unlike most visionaries, Quinn did not simply leave us with the instruction to “change our consciousness.” What most impressed my friends and me is, Quinn told us exactly what we do need to change. He nailed the inertia that Schmidt asked about.

Quinn explained how each member of civilization carries certain subconscious assumptions which both profoundly influence our behavior and are contrary to the enlightened thinking that so many visionaries expect us to embrace. While these ideas are difficult to identify, no less replace, they are by no means to be confused with human nature.

And that means that these assumptions are...changeable.

This so inspired my friends and I that we co-opted Quinn's presentation slides and notes, and we completely re-wrote it to our liking. Then over the course of 3 years, we presented it to many audiences: environmental groups, churches, high schools and civic associations.

Perhaps it is time to dust off the New Renaissance. I'll reintroduce it in this blog over the next few weeks. For now, here is a teaser cartoon. Stay tuned!

Schmidt also prodded Petersen to make some predictions about the near-future, and eventually Petersen came around to offering specifics. It's not very pretty.

Get ready to survive the big storm and learn how to evolve.

John Petersen


Thursday, April 30, 2009

Business Imperative: Sustainability the Key to a Secure Future

Looney Tunes Wallpaper : Wile CoyoteLast Friday, I attended a live webinar sponsored by the 2Degrees Network, featuring two speakers who are based in the UK. David Bent is the Head of Business Strategies at not-for-profit Forum for the Future. James Robey is the Head of Corporate Sustainability at Capgemini. Together, they discussed why business leaders must see sustainability as an opportunity to ensure a secure future, despite the recession. 

Indeed, the current recession is the result of unsustainable development in economic, material, and environmental terms. David Bent surprised me when he characterized the the current postwar trend of economic and population growth as a global overshoot.

Overshoot is a situation when a system gathers so much momentum in one direction that it temporarily exceeds certain limits, and that this eventually will be met with a corrective force or forces that drives it back into an equilibrium. Overshoot is Wyle E. Coyote breaking through a guardrail while pursuing the Roadrunner, puzzling for a moment about what just happened, gaping at the abyss below his feet, and then taking the plunge.

Bent stated his point and moved on with his presentation.

I was surprised, because this concept has been ignored by mainstream business leaders and economists. The concept of overshoot smacks hard against the prevailing philosophy that our economic growth can be sustained in perpetuity, without limit.

Overshoot implies that there are certain physical and ecological limits to civilization's growth which lie beyond our control. However, most neoclassical economists including Julian Simon have strenuously attacked any effort to make such a suggestion, relying on the faith that human ingenuity will always develop an answer and deploy it in time to save the day.

Bent's unapologetic use of the term captured my attention. By accepting the liklihood of limits to growth, one can better appeciate this definition:

Sustainabilityliving within our means

At the Forum for the Future, Bent and his team are trying to anticipate our future based on various assumptions. His hope is that organizational strategists in the public and private realms, regardless of ideological bias, will use these scenarios to help their organizations develop appropriate precautions and contingencies-- with little or no regulatory prompting from governments.

Some of the questions addressed by the scenarios include: 
  • Will the response to overshoot be globally-coordinated or nationalistic? 
  • Will elites around the world recognize and support global institutions? 
  • How will the financial markets be regulated? 
He has developed four primary scenarios: 
  1. Alpha scenario: things will go global; consistent market regulation; Finance is run as more of a business utility than a casino (my emphasis!); primary mfg of consumer goods in China: finishing, use and re-use done within local markets 
  2. Beta (continuation of path that we are on): nationalistic responses, protectionism, barriers 
  3. Delta1: patched-up globalization; disasters inside China; distributed (renewable) energy generation empowers the developing world 
  4. Delta2: me and mine, individualism reigns, powered by online services: atomized social networks; collapse of trust in large orgs (private and public); regulatory nightmare 
Their advice to organizations: 
  • Prepare for radical change: rehearse multiple scenarios 
  • Don't obsess on consumer demand: expectations for corporate responsibility will rebound once the economy improves 
  • Identify direct cost savings
  • Use innovation to protect market share (more customer value)
  • Motivate your people
  • Capture long term advantage (strong balance sheet) 
My question: The Interface Corporation under Ray Anderson's leadership is frequently cited as a leader in transforming its business along sustainability principles. Sadly, it's financial performance has failed to convince mainstream business analysts. Any ideas why?

A: Interface's sustainability goals are radical, not incremental. They are shifting from selling goods to selling services, and this warrants them to reeducate their customers about changing their buying habits. This all takes a lot of trial-and-error, a lot of time to perfect.

My question: Organizations naturally respond to the need to "do" CSR, by expanding their bureaucracy (i.e., adding new roles to their organizations), instead of integrating new incentives and practices into existing structure. What can be done to avoid this?

A: Apply some of the lessons learned during the TQM revolution in the '70s and '80s. Many companies started by forming special quality management groups but soon found out that you cannot create quality, no matter how hard you test for it. Quality products come from quality processes, from companies that train and encourage all employees to employ quality in their work. Sustainability needs to be treated the same way.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Watching Comedy Central Makes Me Smarter, Part I

Nothing demonstrates what we stand for as a nation more than the way we treat those we captured during our ongoing struggle against Al Qaeda.

In this Daily Show interview with Cliff May, Jon Stewart jousts with him about shades of gray, drawing lines, and framing this important argument in historical context. 

If there is an equivalent form of "dittohead" for Jon Stewart fans, I am one.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Dr. Jay Hakes and the Future of Energy

Dr. Jay HakesLast Thursday, I attended a very informative meeting sponsored by CareerEco, featuring Dr. Jay Hakes. Hakes was an advisor to the Carter Presidency and later head of the US Energy Information Administration. Now, he heads the Jimmy Carter Presidential Library and is a Midtown resident.

In response to the Arab oil embargo of 1979, Carter introduced a visionary energy plan with a goal of supplying 20% of our domestic energy needs via renewables by 2000! By comparison, the EU currently has set the same goal for themselves by 2020. Back then, the public did not understand such a complicated plan, and its opponents derided the windfall profits tax as if that were the only important aspect of the plan.

Hakes: You can't fit an energy policy on a bumper sticker.

In the late 1970's, the US led the world in solar and wind technology, but in the early 80's the Saudis intentionally flooded the market with oil and tanked the prices in a successful attempt to damage the alternative energy industry. All Federal administrations from Reagan's on have paid lip service to renewable energy, and our technology leadership has subsequently passed to the Germans and the Japanese.

With regards to CAFE (Federally-mandated fuel efficiency standards,) American automakers are not wholly to blame for the lack of progress over the past 2 decades. They have been willing to accept tighter standards, if the Feds also raised taxes on fuel. Our politicians didn't, and they continue to resist.

3 top Federal policy priorities should be:
  • continued focus on energy conservation and efficiency
  • Enact a tough National Renewable (electricity) Portfolio Standard
  • We need to place a tax on carbon. A direct tax is preferable to a cap and trade system, for many of the same reasons that Thomas Friedman recently described in his NY Times op-ed
As for stimulating our domestic renewable energy industry, it's politically expedient to offer tax incentives. It's always easier to cut taxes than it is to raise them, but they rarely achieve their lofty aims. Due to the temporary nature of these credits and rebates, businesses won't take risks that depend on them.

In addition to these carrots, we have to also implement some sticks--mainly in the form of a carbon tax. Unlike tax incentives, new taxes are usually permanent. Thus, businesses can count on taxes when they make long-term plans and investments; they cannot with the more ephermal tax incentives.

We will have to accept more nuclear power plants to satisfy our needs. It's good that the GA PSC granted permission to pre-charge ratepayers for the construction of Plant Vogle2; it provides a true-cost signal to the regional electricity market and will make renewables more attractive.

My question to Hakes about educating govt officials (e.g., PSC members), business leaders and everyday citizens is most important. Unfortunately, there are few easy answers.

He does not subscribe to Peak Oil theory; we have ample access to unconventional sources such as tar sands--for a price; the PO'ers are advocating for the right policies for the wrong reasons; he respects Matt Simmons but respectfully disagrees.

We need installers of wind and solar systems who have brand name cachet.

All-in-all, Hakes represents an expert, moderate voice in the debate about our energy future. I bought a copy of his book and will comment here further once I finish it.

Monday, April 27, 2009

Got Trash? You Bet!


On Saturday, we drove from Atlanta to Athens for the annual Twilight Criterium bicycle race, via GA Route 316. 316 is a four-lane, 45-mile trek through a sunburned exurban landscape of office parks, pastures and big-box retail. What makes 316 such a painful experience is the combination of difficult driving conditions (traffic congestion, numerous traffic lights, high speeds, aggressive drivers) and the utter lack of beauty.

The 316 corridor is land that human civilization has conceded to its most selfish tendencies (and fullsized pickup trucks): a paved asylum. Take, for example, this roadside gem which comes replete with a tip to Ol' Glory.

Little did we know, that on this very day a University of Georgia professor of Marketing would murder three people outside of an Athens theater in broad daylight. Might a little beauty, an expression of love in public spaces and community, have tempered the professor's lunacy enough to avert this tragedy?

I am someone who believes in a higher power and seeks to find that power in any situation, no matter how hopeless it may seem on the surface. In this case, I had to raise my gaze up to the clouds, for the landscape offered nothing.

Rest & Repair Day, Dreaming of Trials

Following a good, hard weekend of riding, I took today off (well, except to ride to Little 5 Points to run some errands.) I replaced some drivetrail components on my mountain bike, and it now runs swe-e-e-t.

Urban trials riding, at its best, melds grace and strength into an art-form, especially when accompanied by a great soundtrack, like in this video.

Emerging Smart Grid Technologies

Last Wednesday, I attended a live webinar sponsored by the 2Degrees Network. It was moderated by Peter Fox-Penner,  a Principal and Chairman Emeritus at The Brattle Group. The panelists were each expert in their respective fields and contributed to the topic:
  • Jesse Berst, Managing Director of GlobalSmartEnergy
  • Karl Stahlkopf, Senior Vice President of Energy Solutions and Chief Technology Officer of HECO 
  • Peter L. Corsell, Chief Executive Officer of GridPoint 
  • Ahmad Faruqui, Principal with The Brattle Group
Overall, the uptake of SG technology will continue at the present, steady pace for some months and maybe years. The panelists generally agreed that SmartGrid pilots, while so far demonstrating promise, need to exhibit more scalability, especially in moving from 100+ residences to 1,000,000+ residences.

The power industry is undergoing a transformation that resembles telecomm's transformation from an industry providing commodity services (a dial tone, 120VAC at the receptacle) to value-based services.  The dialtone is not the product, it's the experience of using the end-user service.

Just by providing real-time feedback to consumers household demand can be lowered 6-10%. GridPoint calls it "a virtual power plant." However, providing an easy-to use web-based information display is not easy.

The meter is a "false water's edge" as customers gain usage control behind the meter. While significant effort currently is focused on smart meters and their integration, this will shift more to "behind the meter" applications for the consumer.

The financial justification of SmartGrid projects remains a challenge and should ease, once the hard benefits are better understood and quantified. Increased customer self services and remote provisioning, for instance, will reduce the number of incoming service calls and "truck rolls."

Legislators and public service commisioners need to be educated about the regulatory opportunities and challenges, e.g. demand-based pricing, opt-out rights for consumers.

There will be a clash over in-home control amongst local utilities, Microsoft, Google, others.

PHEVs (electric plug-in cars) have the potential to double the efficiency of the SmartGrid and represent a "killer app." They are the ideal nighttime load for utilties. GP is working with GM on smart charging solutions for the Chevy Volt; leverage on-board diagnostics and telematics. Automakers will sell their PHEVs "grid-aware", with options for the car buyer to enroll in the utility's smart charging program.

Friday, April 24, 2009

The Codger Returns

This feels new yet vaguely familiar, as I maintained a personal web site from 1999-2004 which included a daily journal. Sorry, kiddo, it was before they ever had these there bloggy-things.

Now the Old Codger is back in business...so long as I can keep track of my glasses. My aim remains the same: to capture in words and pictures my daily life's more meaningful, humorous, or otherwise worthwhile moments. 

I hope this contributes to a greater sense of mutual understanding and community which is, after all, our only hope.

About this blog's name: Marquee Moon is the name of a favorite song from the influential 1970s New York guitar rock band Television. I like it, because it embodies many memorable nights for me spent prowling lower Manhattan in search of the best scene.

Sometimes I found it, but that's for another day...

Your attention to my blog gives me great pleasure, as do your comments.