Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Common Mistakes and Solutions

The latest weekly ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show (arranged by Avastone Consulting) featured James Quilligan, a distinguished analyst and administrator in the field of international development who sees the need for new methods of solving global problems, outside of the usual governmental and private entities. In particular, he advocates for a stronger governance of the Commons.

Like the other two guests featured in the ZOOM'D series (refer to my previous blog entries here and here), Quilligan is cautious about declaring a bottom to the current global economic crisis too soon and expects continued instability for some time.

Also, he sees the linkages amongst the ongoing monetary crisis, damage to ecological systems and global poverty. Our consumption-driven economy propels these problems, because the demand for constant growth outstrips the ability of natural systems (energy, water, air, etc.) to sustain it.

This, Quilligan argues, has necessitated the ongoing privatization of the Commons: areas of shared space and worth that difficult or impossible for governments and businesses to repesent on a balance sheet. We may easily recall how all the sources of fresh water from rainfall, rivers, lakes and underground aquifers represent a common resource that is increasingly being threatened by privatization efforts, especially in arid locales.

Quilligan explains how the Commons represent water, air, mineral and energy resources but goes beyond natural resources. It also represents consumer purchasing power, indigenous wisdom, community health, intellectual property, public trust, slots in the over-the-air broadcasting spectrum, and so on.

The Commons encompasses most of what we need to function as a human community. The Commons has mental, social and ecological components. As such, some of it can be replenished, some cannot, but much of it is fragile.

The Tragedy of the Commons is a well-known article by Garrett Hardin which explains how the Commons can be unintentionally damaged by those who rely on it through abuse and overuse. Quilligan sees this as a clear reason why the Commons needs to be carefully governed, and current history strongly suggests that we are failing at this. We usually view this question as a matter of economic theory.

Lately, we have seen the shortcomings of this approach, regardless of whether your economics lean in the direction of free markets or that of Keynesian government interventions. The Public Sector, in Quilligan's opinion, cannot deal effectively with the Commons: bureaucrats and politicians lack proper expertise, and they are limited by man made political borders. And, we know what happens when private managers must answer to shareholders above those who depend most on the Commons.

Quilligan sees less of a distinction between public and private sectors than commonly perceived and cites this coziness as a threat to our Democracy. For anyone interested in sussing this out further, I strongly recommend reading Thom Hartmann's excellent history of corporate power, Unequal Protection.

Besides, neither sector appears ready to accept the fact that the Commons may lack the capacity of supporting our economic growth model. Quilligan see a need to synthesize a “third sector” exhibiting properties of the other two.

Civil society/non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are stepping in to protect the Commons, although they sometimes may not recognize it as such. Much of their work is effectively carried out at the community-level, and more needs to be done at the global level. Some NGOs need help recognizing and organizing this.

I wished to have heard more examples of this from Quilligan. He mentioned the need to propagate gift economies, to institute green fees (taxes) on natural resource extraction and also to tax “financial speculation.”

He does not think that cap and trade legislation for controlling greenhouse gas emissions is the way to go, and I wished that he would have explained why.

Now, Quilligan is serving as Policy Development Coordinator of the Coalition for the Global Commons – an international consultation process that is engaging partners across the world in the development of a common global action plan. Recently, he wrote an article for the Kosmos Journal called Global Commons Goods | Civil Society as Global Commons Organizations. Here is my favorite part of it:

While watching markets and states mismanage the world’s cross-boundary problems, it has dawned on many individuals, communities and civil society organizations that the specific objectives we are pursuing—whether they are food, water, clean air, environmental protection, energy, free flow of information, human rights, indigenous people’s rights, or numerous other social concerns—are essentially global commons issues. It is also becoming clear that we would gain considerably more authority and responsibility in meeting these problems by joining together as global commons organizations. 

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Take the National Drivers Test

According to the Atlanta-Journal Constitution, Georgia's drivers rate amongst the lowest of all states when it comes to their knowledge of road rules.

I suppose this results from lax state requirements for obtaining and retaining a drivers license, and the public perception that driving an automobile is a right, not a privilige

Take the test yourself. I got 19/20 questions right. I missed #18, the one about approaching a traffic signal displaying a steady yellow light.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Crash Course

Last week, the weekly ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show (arranged by Avastone Consulting) featured an fascinating interview with Chris Martenson, 45-year-old visionary who willingly quit his former high-paying, high-status job at an international Fortune 300 company, because it seemed like an unnecessary diversion from the real tasks at hand. Chris writes and lectures about current and future events according to a body of orignal work that he calls the Crash Course.

I have considered the lectures of many analysts and visionaries each of whom have concluded that we're screwed, meaning that the economic, environmental and social order that we currently enjoy is doomed. The best of these have girded their cases by weaving together numerous contemporary trends into a big picture. By taking a wholistic view, they overcome the reductionist tendencies of mainstream analysts and “experts,” presenting fresh evidence to suggest that any effort—no matter how great—will fail in restoring and maintaining the status quo many of us enjoyed only a few short months ago.

The party's over, they say.

With this, Chris Martenson dives into this doomer genre with clarity and hope. His Crash Course excels at identifying and describing in easy-to-understand terms certain trends—in energy, financial capital, and human population—that make the current situation so unique and pivotal in determining our future. We are at a confluence of nonlinear trends that are linked to each other.

He deserves special credit for his recognizing the primacy of human population growth amongst these trends, something often overlooked by others. How else could we overlook the significance of there being more humans alive today than have ever lived—cumulatively—since the dawn of Homo Sapeins Sapiens over 120,000 years ago?

Eight years ago, I realized that the party was nearly over and wracked my brain to find a way to show the “big picture” for all to easily see. I envisioned a set of line graphs depicting time-based trends, showing the “hockey stick” inflection points portending imminent consequences. With each of these graphs—for human population growth, the economy, global temperatures, species extinctions, natural resource depletions—there would be an arrow pointing to the present day at or near the inflection point, with an overall title “You are here.”

Somehow, I could not find and assemble the data needed to fit this concept. In Crash Course, Martenson nails it!

His outlook for the future is pragmatically hopeful. First, we should all agree that our world has changed dramatically and irrevocably to the extent that there is little possibility of restoring that which we previously considered to be “normal living.”  

The next twenty years will be unlike the previous 20 years.

With this come two essential realities: that the age of economic growth fueled by mass consumerism is over. We cannot borrow-and-buy our way out of this mess, including the “innovative” methods of Wall Streeters that turned our global banking system into a casino.

Also, economic growth is subject to limits imposed by natural, earth-based systems. All human activity is ultimately governed by the availability of energy, clean air, fresh water, healthy soil, viable fisheries, and so on. These systems have a finite capacity to provide us what we need, and so goes our aspirations for growth: finitely.

We therefore are faced with a future quite different from our past experience. We can either shape it according to these realities, or we can have our future dictated to us by the physical world.  

In Crash Course, Martinsen states that we have all the knowledge and technologies we need to create a better future for ourselves, and the only thing we currently lack is the political will to do so. It's not hard to see where we stand politically, judging by way that the Government's efforts to “recover” from the current recession/depression are largely focused on restoring the status quo: bailing out the multinational banks and the automobile companies.

Politically, we have not addressed the realities.

On this point, Crash Course, comes up short. Our political preoccupations are merely a reflection of more powerful barriers to meaningful change. In Martinsen's finely-reasoned treatise he does not uncover the root causes of our problems, and therefore his recommended actions sound tired and weak.

To develop an effective strategy, we need to understand how we got into this mess. This is where the New Renaissance can help.

More on that soon...

Monday, May 18, 2009

Liberate Your Mailbox

Catalog Choice has a nifty service that has reduced the number of unwanted catalogs hitting my mailbox. It is run by a nonprofit organization and is free to use. Take a few minutes at their site to unclutter your mailbox and save a forest!

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Aluminum Love


A nice spring day like today prompts me to roll out my retro ride, the Vitus 979. Produced in France circa 1987, the Vitus 979 Duraluminum frameset is what the legendary Sean Kelly rode to countless victories in Europe. Every time I ride it, I react with a characteristic "whoa" to the bike's tight frame angles and stiff ride. Compared with my high-end  carbon bike, the Vitus is incredibly responsive and not much heavier. 
In the two decades which have elapsed since this bike occupied the state-of-the-art, a lot of useful technological advances have been made with pedals, integrated shifting, and the like. Still, it rides with speed and refinement.
A beauty to ride and to behold, on a beautiful day. Life is good!

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change

Yesterday, I tuned in to a ZOOM'D Leadership Radio Show which is hosted every Monday by my friend John D. Schmidt, founder and CEO of Avastone Consulting. Schmidt interviewed an author and futurist named John Petersen. Petersen is President and Founder of The Arlington Institute and recently wrote a book called A Vision for 2012: Planning for Extraordinary Change. In it, he takes stock of significant trends in the current world order and riffs on what the future has in store for us.

Petersen works with a variety of planners representing many national and global interests, and he began his talk by noting how so many attempts to “fix” the current global financial meltdown aim to restore the old economic order. He further noted how impossible this is, given that the world is changing so profoundly in response to current economic, social, environmental, and energy-related pressures.

Times like these present themselves as opportunities to seize radical change for the better: don't re-boot the (old) economy, re-boot ourselves. He thinks that by the Summer, President Obama will have to shift gears and focus more on rebuilding our system instead of continuing to prop up the old one.

Fair enough, but I found little of substance to follow and humbly think that some friends of mine and I already have gone one better.

I had to roll my eyes through some of the remaining dialog, not because I entirely disagreed with what Petersen was saying. He talked about the end of cheap oil, about us developing a keener sense of “coopetition” and interconnectedness. He said that we need to “co-create a new reality” rooted in both the conscious and the spiritual worlds, using both electronic tools as well as ancient wisdom.

Probably because he has heard this too many times before, Schmidt asked Petersen about how we then move ahead, especially in finding ways to overcome inertia. Petersen did not offer specifics, instead saying that we need to enlighten ourselves and to recognize the need for us to evolve into beings better-suited for life in a collaborative world.

To Petersen's credit, he did state that we should enact this enlightenment, even if it might be impossible to anticipate where it will lead us (and our heirs.) This is when I recalled my work with The New Renaissance.

Eight years ago, some friends and I saw Daniel Quinn give a lecture at the UGA which he titled, The New Renaissance. Like John Petersen, Quinn followed a line about how our current economic, social and environmental systems are not working and are not sustainable. He also made a case for us to re-invent how we live, to incorporate both modern technology and ancient wisdom, to incorporate more mutual support into our social and economic systems. All this change undoubtedly requires a lot of convincing, a lot of persuasion, a lot of 'splainin'.

Unlike most visionaries, Quinn did not simply leave us with the instruction to “change our consciousness.” What most impressed my friends and me is, Quinn told us exactly what we do need to change. He nailed the inertia that Schmidt asked about.

Quinn explained how each member of civilization carries certain subconscious assumptions which both profoundly influence our behavior and are contrary to the enlightened thinking that so many visionaries expect us to embrace. While these ideas are difficult to identify, no less replace, they are by no means to be confused with human nature.

And that means that these assumptions are...changeable.

This so inspired my friends and I that we co-opted Quinn's presentation slides and notes, and we completely re-wrote it to our liking. Then over the course of 3 years, we presented it to many audiences: environmental groups, churches, high schools and civic associations.

Perhaps it is time to dust off the New Renaissance. I'll reintroduce it in this blog over the next few weeks. For now, here is a teaser cartoon. Stay tuned!

Schmidt also prodded Petersen to make some predictions about the near-future, and eventually Petersen came around to offering specifics. It's not very pretty.

Get ready to survive the big storm and learn how to evolve.

John Petersen